Thy Rod And His Staff, They Comfort Me

Investments can be frustrating things. Words like risk, reward, affluence, convenience, chance, prosperity, fortune, bankruptcy, and luck are prevalent whenever the topic of our precious pile of property rears its head. Do we play it safe? Or do we spin the wheel of fortune and put our future in jeopardy? David Brandon has to deal with this question not only about his portfolio, but also with the head football coach at the University of Michigan. He sits in his dark office in the long hours of the night scheming his next move. But what he should be doing is enjoying his cable TV, plush couches, beautiful women, small giraffes and saying, “Opulence…. I has it.”

David Brandon already has the next great coach of the University, now he just has to realize Rodriguez is already in the fold. This is the gamble worth the risk. This is the investment worth waiting for the proverbial payout. Intelligent investors know that, historically, new businesses and investments take two to three years to mature and become financial boons to those who stood by the product and saw it grow. Rich Rodriguez’s product at the University of Michigan is on the precipice of becoming a consistent national power who will vie for titles for years to come under the authority of the current coach.

The main argument made by the detractors of Coach Rodriguez is that he doesn’t care about defense, and that Michigan will never have a respectable one while he resides in Schembechler Hall. This is completely ignorant. Yes, the surface facts point blatantly that Michigan’s defense has gotten worse each year under Rich, and that this past season was the worst statistical defense Michigan has ever seen. These are easy things to point to without having to do much research, but a closer look reveals that a vast majority of the defensive flaws do not rest solely on the shoulders of a coach that has been here for three years and only two recruiting classes. Believing that a spread offense automatically equals a bad defense is not logical. Obviously with a quick strike offense the opponents will have more possessions which lead to generally higher scores on your defense, but it doesn’t mean the talent level has to be poor. Which it wasn’t at Michigan until…..

The secondary imploded. It was supposed to include Donovan Warren, Troy Woolfolk, JT Floyd, Justin Turner, and a hotshot freshman named Demar Dorsey. Donovan Warren took really, incredibly, terribly bad advice and turned pro unexpectedly. He did not get drafted, and should have been a key piece in the Wolverine’s defense. Troy Woolfolk was the other starter at cornerback, and was lost for the season due to injury before it started. Justin Turner was a five star recruit that was supposed to be the top backup corner for this program in 2010, but spent more time at the buffet line than in the gym in the offseason. He is now out of division one football. JT Floyd was considered the fourth option at corner this year, but was forced into a starting role. He was injured halfway through the season. Demar Dorsey was denied by Michigan’s admissions department even though he passed all the NCAA requirements. He was a sure fire contributor and possible starter at safety. Tiger Woods thinks the Michigan secondary had a bad year. Even George Clooney and Mark Wahlberg thought it was a perfect storm of misfortune.

Obviously every program in the nation has injuries, defections, and other similar issues. But losing five players on the two deep for your secondary is unheard of. No program in the country could absorb the types of losses Rich had to deal with in the secondary and been considered a good defense. Think about it. Whatever football program you are a fan of, take out the two starting corners, the two backups, and your newest hotshot five star and what would you have left? Freshman, perhaps? Sound familiar?

Let's continue. Rodriguez had six players from Lloyd's 2007 class worth a damn as redshirt juniors/true seniors this year. One of them plays for Arkansas by the name of Ryan Mallett, and one of them is now a fourth string cornerback for the Jets named Donovan Warren. Junior Hemingway, David Molk, Ryan Van Bergen, and Troy Woolfolk are the others. That's the extent of the contributors from Lloyd's last full class who are currently Michigan's four year players worth their scholarships. Unfortunately, Carr also recruited most of Rodriguez's junior class. Darryl Stonum, Kevin Koger, Mike Martin, and Kenny Demens are the only players of the seventeen recruited by Lloyd that have proven themselves to be even average players for a division one football team, with Mike Martin being the one player who will be drafted into the NFL. Six of the eight players that Rodriguez recruited in two short months are successes. That list includes JT Floyd, Michael Shaw, Martavious Odoms, Roy Roundtree, Patrick Omameh, and Ricky Barnum. Five of them are starters when healthy, and Barnum is a probable two year starter on the offensive line. Also, Rodriguez's recruiting classes in 2009 and 2010 have leaned heavily towards the defensive side of the football because of the voids left by the ineptitude of Lloyd Carr's final classes and Rodriguez's need to retool the offense.

With the talent that’s already on the roster, the total lack of graduating contributors on both sides of the ball, and the young defenders Rich is bringing in bode well for next year and beyond. People say there is no hope for next years defense, but the Wolverines gain back two immediate starters in JT Floyd and Troy Woolfolk for next year’s secondary. Their black hole of gaping sorrow, known as their pass defense, can become a land of mediocrity. This is technically a huge upgrade if one were to look up the words “hell on earth” and “kind of capable most of the time.” This upgrade at the corner spots, coupled with Rich’s continued labor of increasing the talent pool of the defense through recruiting offer proof of an improving defense to go with an explosive offense.

While the offense needs no defending, it’s time to stop defending the defense and go on the offensive about the offense. Are you still with me? The offense was the ninth best offense in yards but twenty first in scoring. The Wolverines have a first year starting quarterback in Denard Robinson that destroyed almost every Michigan record, and is considered someone to watch closely for future Heisman consideration. The fact that the copious amounts of yards didn’t turn into as many points as it should have is mostly from Denard’s timing. As a first year starter he was late to throw on many routes that were wide open, and most of his interceptions were a result of not reacting in time. The rule of thumb on starting quarterbacks is the biggest jump is from year one to year two as a starter. It’s scary to think of what Denard could accomplish next year. Actually I'm getting warm fuzzies right now. This isn't scary at all. Give me a minute....

...The return on the Rich Rodriguez investment is about to be realized. To cut bait when the returns are so close would be a travesty. 1927 was the last year a Michigan coach wasn’t given five years to prove his worth. To be able to coach his own juniors and seniors. To install his system. Why should that change now? Especially when Rich has arguably the biggest overhaul to achieve. If you do not trust what is written in this article, then trust Jim Schwartz. When asked why the Lions have been so bad over the last decade, his answer was that there were too many different philosophies, too many coaches, and too many different trains of thought to be successful. He went on to say that stability and believing in what you are doing is the key to success. Stay the course Mr. Brandon, or I’ll be forced to switch to Mr. Illitch’s pizza out of spite.

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Here we go again.....

Its the time of year where Detroit Lions fans look longingly at the Swimsuit Issu......COUGH..... Superbowl matchup and wonder what it might take to someday be in such a position, and no I'm not still talking about the Swimsuit Issue. I don't have the time or the energy to write a volume the length of the Koran to dissect the entire problem, but the two weeks between the championship games and said 'Bowl is the time where I reflect most on the should'ves and the could'ves. While most Lions fans have been discussing the offseason and draft since Week 3, I was too involved with losing both of my fantasy football leagues while having a regular season record of 22-5, not to mention watching the playoffs to refresh my memory of what real American football should look like. But without further ado, I give you my Koran cliffnotes as it were to how the Lions can reverse their Cubs-like run at the bottom of the NFC.


#1. Draft Mr. Suh or Gerald McCoy. And yes I wrote Mr. Suh because I have no idea how the blazes to actually spell his first name. Where is that cat FROM anyway? Wherever he is from, draft all 8 players from there, and yes I know how many rounds there are in the NFL draft. Do some research of our picks this year before chastising me you intellectual weaklings. Sorry..... back on topic...... This isn't actually what I would consider the biggest need of our team, but the talent level of these two compared to everyone else in the draft is undeniable, and it still is a need. The biggest need in my mind is actually.....

#2. Get an effective Left Guard for all that is Holy. I'm sorry, I thought Manny Ramirez played baseball. What? Daniel Loper, Jon Jansen, and Ephriam Salaam couldn't fill in admirably after our starting Guard went to play for the Dodgers??? Why can't we be like the late great Broncos and have a dominating offensive line that can make Tatum Bell look like a Pro Bowler? Then we trade said mediocre running back for players that are actually talented. Fool proof. My plan is to re-sign Tatum in the offseason after we sign a Left Guard and have him amass 1,500 yards from scrimmage and then trade him back to the Broncos for Dre Bly. I don't understand why we haven't done this yet. Yes, yes I know the line would still not be perfect, but that is the weakest link, and helping out our running backs and our multi-million dollar baby faced quarterback is a huge necessity.

#3. Find a secondary. I don't even know why they call it a secondary. In the National Passhappy League it should be called a primary. It is the primary problem of our defense, besides the defensive line which gives opposing quarterbacks Adrian Peterson to throw........... All day?...........Nobody?............ Anyway, I basically just said "besides our secondary and our defensive line we have a pretty good thing going" which makes me want to kill myself. Which leads me to important thing #4.

#4. Get a sharp knife and end it already, but do so in the tub so your family has less to clean up. The team is so bereft of talent that bleeding out is a better option for me than to continue this post. Ugh.......

*No authors were hurt in the posting of this commentary.

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Ryan Raburn

My worst nightmare happened. Not even Zack Greinke could prevent the stupid Twins from sweeping the Royals, who chose the worst times to get hot and then go in a slump. Plus we all knew it would be completely unreasonable to expect the Tigers offense to score more than one run against Freddy Garcia (4.34 ERA), so how could the Tigers possibly take 2 of 3 from a non-playoff team at home.


So here we are, scared to death that the Minnesota house of horrors will mean another year added to the division championship drought.

But, as I keep having to remind myself, the Tigers are not out of it yet. I also need to often remind myself that I am not the manager of the Tigers and have no control. That said, I can continue to pretend.

I already gave the Tigers, specifically Carlos Guillen, quite the verbal licking from the left field stands on Saturday, a message that seemed to be received. I also chastised Leyland for sitting one of his best offensive options, Ryan Raburn, on Saturday in favor of the completely worthless, unless playing for a last place team, Aubrey Huff. My theory then was founded basically on my completely unjustified belief that every time I attend a Tigers game that Raburn plays in, he has a great game at the plate. Perhaps not completely unjustified considering I have seen him hit is first career hit, home run, and grand slam in addition to several 3-4 games and a couple multi-RBI games. (Ryan, if your superstitious you can email me about my season tickets next year, I'm not asking for much, and you get to go to the hall of fame. Deal?)

However, after looking purely at the numbers, Raburn might be the guy who most needs to play in the one game "playoff." Here are some stats for you to chew on.

Raburn is hitting a home run just over every 16 (16.025) at bats. That is better than both Miguel Cabrera (18.36) and Curtis Granderson (20.867). In fact, it is just a little worse than AL HR leader, Mark Teixiera (15.6).

I know what you are going to say. "Ryan Raburn plays mostly in a platoon, in favorable hitting match-ups" to which I say, how dare you doubt Ryan Raburn's abilities! Raburn has 128 at bats verses right handed pitchers and 158 at bats against left handed pitchers. Most of his power numbers are coming against left handed pitchers (12 HRs against lefties vs. 4 against righties), but Raburn actually has a higher average against right handed pitchers (.296 vs. .278).

Mind you, Raburn's .288 average is 3rd best on the team, and his 45 RBI's is three less than Magglio who had 203 more at bats than Raburn. In fact, if you extrapolate Raburn's 45 RBI's for as many AB's as Miguel Cabrera had, he would be leading the team with 106 RBIs.

However, the most important stat of all might be this chart. Look at his trends: (click link to make it bigger)


Not only is Raburn hitting .345 this month, and he also has half of his home runs in one month of play. The trend says he is saving his best for last.

I wanted to finish you all off and thereby instill the same love that I have for Ryan Raburn into your own heart with a grand finale that showed Raburn hitting .400 against Scott Baker. However, it looks like he has never actually faced Scott Baker in his career. Perhaps this unfamiliarity is problematic, but I don't think you sit your hottest hitter just because he is young and unfamiliar.

Raburn basically single-handedly kept us in this race after not getting a chance to play in games 1 or 2 against the White Sox. He has to play in Tuesday's game.

I gave you all the reasons why we need him at the plate, but we also need him in left field instead of the 3 steps too slow Carlos Guillen. Raburn gives you a huge lift defensively because he has more speed than Guillem, but also because of his accurate arm that has thrown out an amazing 8 assists from the outfield, putting him near the top of the list of outfielders, all of whom are everyday players, unlike Raburn.

So, looking at all the great reasons to play Ryan Raburn, here is my suggestion for tomorrow:

1. Curtis Granderson - CF
2. Placido Polonco - 2B
3. Magglio Ordonez - RF
4. Miguel Cabrera (hopefully sober) - 1B
5. Carlos Guillen - DH
6. Brandon Inge - 3B
7. Ryan Raburn - LF
8. Gerald Laird - C
9. Adam Everett - SS

Raburn is a very hot hitter and NEEDS to play tomorrow. I will be extremely disappointed if he isn't in the lineup because he might be the only remaining key to a halfway decent offense.

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Lord Bettman's......ERRRRR.......Stanley's Cup Finals

This is the world we live in. A team loses in Game 7 of Lord Stanley's Cup and their fans must find ways in which to relieve the pain from a head on collision with reality. "Fans" will spew obscenities about opposing players, coaches, fans, and even the League. As if only the NHL itself could keep down our Kingly Wings. Bandwagoners cannot live with the fact that they hitched a ride on a trail that ended up plummeting over a cliff instead of to "them thar mountains" with a giant silver cup filled with gold, and possibly Crosby's pubic-like beard hair. Casual fans who don't know who the Wings third line Center is or our second line defenseman are cannot believe that such a great team could possibly have gotten so screwed. Even some of the die-hard fans out there believe all of this was some sort of mirage or chirade for Bettman to get "Cindy" (his?) Cup. Listen good all you deficient, incendiary provocateurs. We simply got beat.

I love conspiracy theories. Especially the ones like the government caused 9/11 to rally the American people against Muslims, or that they created the AIDS virus to rid the world of "undesireable" people and their habits, or maybe that our government had plenty of advance knowledge of Pearl Harbor and did nothing. Oh, and let's not forget Princess Diana, UFOs, and JFK, to name a few. H.L. Mencken once said, "The central belief of every moron is that he is the victim of a mysterious conspiracy against his common rights and true desserts. He ascribes all his failure to get on in the world, all of his congenital incapacity and damfoolishness, to the machinations of werewolves assembled in Wall Street, or some other such den of infamy." Whatever helps you sleep at night eh? If you want to delve deeply into paranoia and the absence of logic or probable thought, that's your business. But Bettman's business is trying to expand his product. Yes, he's made mistakes in hyping Crosby too much, but he is looking to increase the viewership of the NHL and has made the biggest contracts in NHL history with TV and radio sponsors. He even brought the NHL back from the Lockout. Unfortunately, Bettman is a smart businessman, and smart businessmen do not put their careers on the line for a Tim Donaghy-ian type backlash. If you must believe that Bettman screwed the Wings out of a Championship, just realize that most people around the world would consider you clinically insane.

I will grant that the national media does not consider Detroit one of their darlings. It's no surprise that Bettman would prefer the Cup go elsewhere, just like Selig loves Subway Series' or BoSox vs. Dodgers. Don't you think Stern was leaping for joy that LA won the NBA championship? Michigan as a whole and Detroit as a microcosm are considered the beaten stepchild of New York, LA, and Chicago among others. They regard our victories as anomalies and sound like a loving mother talking to her handicapped child, "Aww! You did so good honey!" And while we may have an inferiority complex that has a foundation in legitimacy, our destiny is our own. Selig did not force every Detroit Tigers pitcher to not know how to throw to first base in '06, Roger Goodell did not send down a mandate for a t-shirt that had "Built Ford Tough" written on it with a Lions logo, David Stern did not tell Joe D. he had to trade Chauncey (still a good trade), and Gary effen Bettman DID NOT lose this series for the Wings.

Gary Bettman did not give us a 2-0 series lead, only to squander it. Gary Bettman did not give us a 3-2 lead, only to squander it. Hell, it almost seemed like he was on the Wings side there for awhile didn't it? Except the Wings were OFFsides so much it didn't matter. The Wings were worse closers than I was in college, and that's saying something. And Gary Bettman surely doesn't have the mind boggling power to make sure we played with no sense of urgency at the Joe in Game 7 of the Stanley Cup finals. He didn't get the Pens so geeked up for the game that they chased the puck harder than a teen boy on viagra. No, that was Coach Dan Bylsma, who graduated from my high school; and if he brings the Cup to Muskegon I will seriously jump off their new high rise building. . . I digress. . .

In essence, it would have been better for the Winged Wheels to lose indefinitely. Yes this sounds putrid to us all, including me who relished in our 7-0 thumping of Patrick Roy and the Avs in Game 7. But knowing we had another gear that was out of commission until 5 minutes were left in the third period? That is unconscionable. No one should have to tell a veteran team what the stakes are. That's like telling Dane Cook he's not funny, he should already know. And to show that they had more so late in the game after they had been thoroughly outplayed is bush league. It was almost as if we've seen the Pistons reincarnated. Winning a championship . . . coming back to the Finals . . . and being too comfortable for the last 60 minutes of play possible in a season for a chance at immortality and the words Legacy, Legendary, Dominant, and Storied. It's almost too hard to write about.

It's obvious that the Wings had more talent on their roster than the Pens. The Pens coach, players, and media even said as much multiple times throughout the course of the series. But as the Wings have found out many times over the past decade of 100 point seasons, the best team doesn't always take home the Cup. Yes, injuries took a toll with the likes of Lidstrom, Datsyuk, Draper, Kopecky, and Lilja missing multiple games if not series'. But that is only a testament to the Wings depth, not an excuse for the way that they finished out by losing 4 of 5 games to an inferior team. Basically it looked to me as if they got caught staring at all the bling on their fingers instead of playing with the heart and desire to match the hungry, upstart Penguins who expunged their inferiority complex. . . Sidenote: The parents of the Baileys should take notes on how to expunge inferiority complexes from the Penguins. Boss and Champ? Really?? . . . Zetterberg said it best afterwards when he pronounced that the Wings "needed this" and that it "wasn't fun, but will bring us back stronger." Fans would hope that the team wouldn't have to go through such a crushing loss to gain back the fire to win, but everyone is human. There is an innate sense of complacency and an entitlement mentality among players who are used to winning, which helps explain why repeating as Champions is always so difficult.

And yet they are not the "Dead Wings" or "Dead Things" or any of the other horrible things they've been called by friend and foe alike. This team is still very talented and no matter what roster changes happen during the summer to stay under the cap, they will once again be a favorite to win Stanley's preferred drinking mug. In fact, they were the last ones to win incredible back to back championships in '97 and '98, then again in '02 and '08. They have the pedigree and talent to be a force for the next decade, so this is no memorial, epitaph, or eulogy (pronounced ya-goo-ga-ly). Are the Wings guaranteed to hoist the Cup next season? No, of course not. But year in and year out, they are the alpha dog of opportunity for that chance. At least Hossa got that part right.

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Dontrelle Willis

Dontrelle Willis pitched 6 and 1/3 innings of 1 hit ball last night.


Read that sentence above again.  Now try and believe it.

Like most of you, I was watching the Wings last night, and I didn't get to see most of Willis' gem; just a few innings during the 2 hockey intermissions.  But when the channel did get switched, I could barely believe those 3 boxes displayed on the Fox Sports Detroit screen:  0 | 1 | 0.

These numbers might have been more believable if either A) Number 35 was on the hill, or B) Dontrelle was high kicking in a church-league softball game.  But neither were true, and he was pitching to, quite possibly, the best offense in the American League.

I can recite stats to you all day long, but since you are reading my blog I am sure you can just as easily surf over to espn.com and see them for yourself.  My role is perspective.

Dontrelle Willis never earned any fans last year in Detroit, but what he did earn was a lot of respect.  He is a high profile player, and I know he has a lot of pride, yet he was willing to swallow that pride and be demoted to a minor league baseball team.  Did he have to do this?  Of course not, he signed a major league contract; the Tigers needed his permission to send him down.  He could have screwed the team over, either forcing him to stay on the Major League team, or forcing them to waive him and pay him the 27 million dollars to do nothing.

The other side?  Juan Rincon.  A worthless reliever who, a lifetime ago, managed to string together a few decent years.  In 2009, signs a minor league contract with the Tigers, but manages makes the opening day roster because Zumaya wasn't healthy.  The regular season rolls around, and his performance is terrible, and there is no longer any room for him on the roster, so the Tigers option him.  He refuses, hoping some team will pick him up, or the Tigers waive him so that he can collect 2 pay checks.

Instead of the easy road, Dontrelle worked his butt off.  He righted the ship with hard work, re-learning, and being open to constructive criticism.

So, the point of this blog is praise.  There aren't many players like Dontrelle.  Instead of believing he was entitled to that big contract, he wanted to earn it.  He wanted to earn it, not just for his own utility, but to make the contract look like a good investment for the team.  Willis said after the game, "[the win] feels great, because we're winning."  His attitude, his performance, and his aura is the kind of thing you want in your team's clubhouse.  His dedication and hard work are contagious, and nobody deserves success more than him.

So, I am really happy for Dontrelle's bounce back.  Of course, I am cautiously optimistic about his future, but I really, really hope his success continues because he earned it.

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Johan Franzen

Johan Frazen is a simply incredible hockey player.  I offer this video as evidence of some of this guy's incredible skills.




Spectacular regular season goals aside, this guy is doing something that few have ever seen before.  Here are his post-season statistics that I am sure are drilled into your head by now:

13 Goals last year, 18 points this year in 12 games.  

Frazen is singlehandedly keeping the Red Wings in contention for another championship.  Think about where the Wings would be without his elevated, clutch play; they would undoubtedly be dead in the water (Pond?).  Anaheim would have walked all over the Wings without the play of Frazen in that hard-fought, 7-game series, given how well the Ducks shut down Datsyuk and Hossa.

Frazen is the most clutch post-season performer we have seen in any sport in a while.  There is a long list of athletes whose performance takes a serious hit when the post-season rolls around; a list that starts alphabetically in the A's for A-Rod and Ray Allen.  There is another list, a much shorter list, of good players who become legends in the post-season, and Frazen belongs near the top.

If Reggie Jackson was Mr. October, Frazen might have to be Mr. May.

Lastly, remember the Wings just signed him to an 11 year deal earlier this season.  That contract looks even more appealing now that Frazen's play this post-season proved that last year's amazing statistics were no fluke.  The Wings will just about always be good enough to make the playoffs, and as long as this guy steps up his game in April and May like this, expect the engravers to be carving a lot of "Frazen" on those Stanley Cups and Con Smyth trophies.

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Clete Thomas

Can someone please tell me what Jim Leyland sees in Clete Thomas that I don't?  


Today was Clete's 5th game in a row starting in the outfield, proving that Jim intends on him being an everyday player and not just a situational left handed bat.  Personally, I don't get it.  He is hitting .333 right now, but 4 of those hits were in one game, and since them he has gone 2 for 14.  

Granted, that nobody in the Tigers lineup is really "lighting it up," but I still do not see the justification of starting Clete every day.

The reason I don't get it is because Clete gets thrown into an everyday role immediately, while Marcus Thames got little to no at bats before hitting the DL.  Another being that Jeff Larish also has not even been given the same opportunity that Clete has.  I understand that Clete is a much better outfielder than either Marcus Thames, Magglio Ordonez, or Jeff Larish, but that alone does not seem to justify Clete's big playing time or his position in the batting order (3rd).

There are several moves that are more logical than making Clete an everyday player fresh from AAA.  First, Leyland could platoon Raburn, Larish, and Thomas.  Larish supposedly can play the corner outfield positions, even though we have never seen him do so this year.  On the days when facing a right handed pitcher, my lineup and positions would look like this.

1.  Anderson - LF
2.  Polonco - 2B
3.  Granderson - CF
4.  Cabrera - 1B
5.  Larish - DH/RF
6.  Ordonez - DH/RF
7.  Inge - 3B
8.  Laird - C
9.  Everett/Santiago - SS

When facing a left-handed pitcher my lineup would look like this:

1.  Granderson - CF
2.  Polonco - 2B
3.  Ordonez - RF
4.  Cabrera - 1B
5.  Larish - DH
6.  Inge - 3B
7.  Laird - C
8.  Thomas/Anderson - LF
9.  Everett - SS

For the first time in ages, the Tigers are loaded with lefty bats.  Temporarily so, until Guillen and Thames come back.  But, Larish has been making more with his at-bats than Thomas has and I think he should be getting the vast majority of the playing time.  Plus, what are the Tigers waiting for?  Larish certainly isn't going to be useful to the Tigers as a first baseman, that spot is pretty much locked down for the next 7 years.  He would be far more useful as a corner outfielder or designated hitter.  And, lastly, Larish has far more talent than Thomas has, and I think that the most talent should be played most.

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Larry Foote

So, Larry Foote is in town.  I have to admit that Larry Foote was my second favorite Michigan Linebacker ever (Ian Gold being my favorite) so obviously I would love him to come to town.  But seriously, the Lions, who won ZERO games last year and had a guy named PARIS playing middle linebacker last year, are saying they need to make sure HE FITS THE SCHEME!?!?  When you win 5 games you get the luxury of fitting guys in schemes.  When you are the Lions and you haven’t won a game in over a year and a half, you take ANY talent you can get.  How often do you A) get a guy who WANTS to come to Detroit, and B) actually fits a gaping whole in your team?  This is RARE!!!  Don’t forget this guy has won multiple super bowls, is a leader/all around good guy, and doesn’t want a long term contract.  This is a match made in heaven!

If I was martin mayhew I would have a 2-3 year, 3.5 million dollar contract (he made under 3 last year) ready for him to sign the second he walked into Ford Field.   But then again, I wouldn’t draft a TE in the first round, so clearly I know nothing about how to rebuild a football team.

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Draft Recap

I want to begin this post with a quick apology for my hiatus over the past few weeks.  I have 2 more weeks of exams and then I should be back to my regular, weekly posting schedule.  Thanks for still tuning into the blog though.  For those of you who want to stay updated without having to access the site everyday, we do have an RSS feed on this site.  The URL for the feed is http://www.putitinstoneblog.com/feeds/posts/default .  Feel free to post that into your favorite RSS Tracker (Mac users, may I suggest NetNewsWire, it is really good and free).  That way your RSS feed will alert you of any new posts on Put it in Stone without having to access the site!  Anyway, lets get to business.


I will confess, I watched just about every pick in the first two rounds of the NFL draft.  I have also familiarized myself with the picks the Lions made in the later rounds.  So, lets analyze and grade this draft.

The first thing I need to say is the Lions invested a TON in Matthew Stafford.  The NFL really needs to do something about these fat and continually inflating rookie salaries.  The Lions invested more money in a player that has never played a single NFL down than any other player on the team.  That move makes absolutely no sense.  The draft, and specifically the draft order, was intended to help bad teams get better; ya know, in economic terms, to encourage competition.  But instead, the rookie contracts hurt bad teams.  Too much money gets invested in a player based purely on speculation and conjecture.  I think the NFL really needs to follow the NBA's lead and cap rookie contracts based on position, and draft number.  Currently, the draft is seeing rookie contracts go up about 20% each year.  That number is much higher than inflation and way higher than the yearly increases in salary cap.  Take the power away from the agents, and put it back in the hands of the teams before 6-8 teams go broke.

Just for a quick example, in the NBA, the number 1 pick is a coveted position.  What team doesn't want to add Blake Griffin this year, or wanted to add Lebron James in 2003?  In the NFL the number one pick is a curse, resulting in a contract no team want to be burdened by.  This needs to change, Mr. Goodell.

Alright, besides the money, Stafford was the only pick.  I love Aaron Curry, and the Lions sure could have used Jason Smith, but franchise quarterback is extremely important in a league built for QBs.  With the money spent on Stafford, he has to be a franchise QB.  If he turns into a Jay Cutler type, he is probably worth the money.  If not, expect 6-9 more years of serious losing in Detroit.  The Lions have the skill players to help him succeed, but they do not have the protection ready to help him succeed.  He already struggles with footwork in the pocket, so protection and time for him becomes even more important.  The Lions would be smart to play Culpepper every down this year and let Stafford learn, observe, and lobby for a better O-Line.   Next year, the Lions need to address the Line, give Stafford more protection, and you might have a situation conducive for success. 

So, after the inevitable happened, I have to say I am disappointed with the selections.  The talent level the Lions got, and perhaps the value was really quite good.  They got the Best TE, and Safeties in the draft.  The problem is, they don't desperately need either of those positions!  Don't get me wrong, a game changer can come from any position, even TE or Safety.  Ed Reed and Antonio Gates are great examples of game changers from those respective positions.  However, the needs of the Lions in the trenches is so important.  The Lions didn't draft a D-lineman until the 4th and didn't draft an offensive lineman until the 7th!!!  While both of these players have upside and could become contributors, I don't see it.  Call it skepticism from years of Millen-late round disappointments, but the odds of finding a gem are diminished when you combine a first year coach with a first year GM.  So, my doubts and skepticism is firmly founded

Despite the lack of executive experience, I have no doubt that Pettigrew is a great player and will probably help the offense, and especially Matthew Stafford, succeed.  But a first round TE is rare for a reason.  Most TE's don't come close to the talent level of the Big-time DE, OT, QB's or skill position players that the first round is normally littered with.  Although, it is, perhaps, becoming more commonplace to draft TE's in the first round (Greg Olson, Vernon Davis, Heath Miller, Tony Gonzalez were all first round selections), normally this is a luxury pick.  The Lions have NO luxuries, as they have needs all over the field!

At 20, in hindsight, there must be something wrong with Maualuga.  Also, from what I have heard, Michael Oher is one step away from being retarded.  So, perhaps either of these players nwould not have been a good pick.  So, my pick would have been Peria Jerry or Ziggy Hood.  The D-Tackles the Lions do have are both fat and old.  Some youth injected into this pick would have made sense.  

As for the later rounds, I think the Lions made a big mistake trading out of the first pick of the third round because it cost them a chance at getting Michael Johnson, the DE from Georgia Tech.  After passing on Peria Jerry, getting an impact DE would have made a lot of sense.  But they missed out and took at DT in the fourth round.  Hopefully, this big player (330+) will be a big impact on Defense.  Also, this probably shows a lot of faith in the skills of Cliff Avril, which is something I can see.

Levy, I have heard, can play middle.  Hopefully this is a natural transition for him and the Lions can rely on one of their only strengths, outside linebacker, to help Levy transition and succeed.  
In conclusion, I am a disappointed that the Lions did not address some more pressing needs at 20.  However, many sports writers and former executives claim the best way to draft is to take the most talented players in the first round and address needs in the later rounds.  If this philosophy is the right one, the Lions probably did that in their first 3 picks.  However, my fears are that the continued existence of some big holes on the offensive line, defensive line, and middle linebacker will result in a lot of losses yet again this year.

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Better Late than Never: BASEBALL PREDICTIONS!!!

Opening Day is finally here!  Baseball season has begun and honoring the theme and spirit of this blog, I bring you my predictions for the 2009 season.  Of course, predictions like this are really meaningless because a single injury or trade could change the whole completion of the season changes.  Now that the boilerplate stuff is out of the way, lets begin!  I bring you my predictions for all the division leaders, the respective league MVP's and Cy Young Winners and my World Season prediction!


AL East:  Yankees.  They addressed their two biggest needs in a big way this offseason: pitching and defense.  Teixeira is a huge upgrade over Giambi and their pitching staff much better with the big acquisitions of C.C. and Burnett.  Those additions push them above the Red Sox, but with the Rays close behind.

AL Central:  Twins.  This division is horrible, but the young hitters and solid pitching of the Twins should be enough for them to rise above the rest of crappy teams in this division.  The White Sox claim a good rotation, but they are relying heavily on the miracle recovery of Jose Contreras.  I imagine the Indians could make a run for the division, but the young and quick hitters, and the very good defense of the Twins will be enough to win this division.  Sorry Tigers fans, I have serious concerns about our rotation and our bullpen.  I don't have a good feeling about this season.

AL West:  Athletics.  The reason I am not picking the Angels is because they have a lot of early season injuries to their rotation and their hitting took a hit with the loss of Teixeira.  The Athletics made a great move getting Matt Holliday.  I also like the talent of their young pitchers.  They will be enough to make the playoffs, barely.

Wild Card:  Rays.  I honestly think the Rays will be better this year than last year.  The problem is the Yankees have a huge psychological advantage, and enough of one to prevent them winning the division.  The Yankees will win the season series against the Rays, and barely beat them out of the division.  But the Rays will be in the playoffs again.  

Cy Young:  Roy Halladay.  (My dark horse for this award is Liriano.)
MVP:  Matt Holliday

NL East: Mets.  I think the Mets had the best team last year in the NL, but the bullpen let them down.  The addition of K-Rod is a big addition.  The bullpen should get a big boost just from his presence.  As a result, I like them over the Phillies

NL Central: Cubs.  This team improved, while all the others got worse.  Only the Cardinals could challenge the Cubs for this league, but that is going to require Chris Carpenter to have a great season, which I doubt.

NL West: Dodgers.  Manny should be set to have another great season in LA, assuming he isn't trying only when there is money on the line.  But, regardless, the Dodgers have good and enough to get the division 

Wild Card:  Phillies.  I can't hate on the defending champs.  They will contend for the division, but settle for the wild card.

Cy Young: Brandon Webb
MVP:  Hanley Rameriez

World Series:  Rays v. Mets.  Rays win it all!

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Reefer err I mean Bracket Madness

I heard some of you are really STRUG-GEL-LING with your brackets. You getting beat by you roommates girl friend, who pick her winners based on criteria such as what teams uniforms would most likely appear on What Not to Where. You even overheard her say, “there’s no way Clinton would wear those awful black Purdue uniforms. He’d go with the classic UCONN look.” Or are you losing to the guy in the cubicle next to you, who has watched two college basketball games all year. The only player in the tournament he has actually heard of is Tyler Hansbrough. He picks all caulk and some crazy upset that of course happens. I can almost guarantee knowledge college basketball fans are losing to an individual such as this. Of course maybe you’re sitting in seventh place out of 32 people like me, but everyone above you has the same freaking teams left. Well, as other things I have fixed in sports (see MooN’s NCAA Football Playoff System or the MFPS for short) I have a system that will eliminate your programs. Once again I will be returning the bullet format for the sake of clarity.

· Disclaimer #1: This system only works for knowledgeable fans and only on a small scale. There’s no way this system works in your office pool in which over 100 participate. It’s too complicated and would be time consuming. You also need a group of individuals that understand how seeding and upsets work. Your cousin’s seven year old son can’t participate here. It wouldn’t work.

· Disclaimer #2: This system is for those expecting more out of their pool. It seeks to eliminate the five minute fill, the crazy upset guy, similar brackets, and going with the caulk. This is for the fan looking to take things to the next level (see Nate’s fantasy football system).

· Disclaimer #3: This system seeks to reward those, who actually make tough picks. I feel that it is unfair to reward someone for picking a #1 seed over a #16 the exact same way as someone, who picks the right #12/$5 upset. It doesn’t make sense. Seeing brackets are essentially a form of gambling they should be based on odds, right?

· Without further ado: The MooN NCAA Tourney Bracket System (copyright 2009)

· The system increasing the amount of points given per round as the teams advanced in the tourney like most systems

· 1stx1, 2ndx2, Sweet 16x3, Elite 8x4, Final 4x5, Championship x6

· Points are also given according to seed

· 1-2 start value= 1 point,3-4= 2 points, 5-7= 3 points, 8-10= 4 points, 11-14= 5 points, 15-16= 6 points

· Bonus 5 pts for each Elite 8 team, 10 pts per Final 4 team, 15 per Championship game team, 20 for winner

· Bonus 10 points available in each round for most games picked correctly

What do you think? I am completely open for suggestions on perfecting my system. I believe this system would greatly reduce the likely hood of losing to that guy, who asked you at the water cooler what a Zag was. It also rewards picking upsets correctly instead of going caulk, while not giving so many points that picking higher seeds is not reward. This would make strategy more important for example in a small pool it makes no sense to pick upsets when going with the 1 and 2 seeds will win 90% of the time. This system will also eliminate the likely hood of losing a bracket because of one pick made in the first or second round. I believe that people should be rewarded for picking one 5 seed in the final four correctly more than picking two 1 seeds. What’s harder to do? I bet your brother-in-law’s first wife wouldn’t know, but if you’re reading this you probably do.

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Great Season

After getting over the initial shock of realizing the season was over, and after moving past the initial anger towards the referees, who gave Blake Griffin a Lebron-like treatment, I just wanted to reflect on this past season for the Michigan Wolverines.


What a great, unbelievable season!

Michigan did what all of us thought was impossible at the beginning of the year: the team got to the big dance, and advanced!  Michigan Basketball fans were treated to two excellent games in the NCAA tournament.  By doing so, I had the most fun I have had watching college basketball in my entire life.  (seeing as how I barely remember, nor could I truly appreciate, the fab five when I was 6-7 years old).  

But, Michigan proved to be a good basketball school yet again by beating teams like Duke, UCLA, Clemson, Illinois, and Purdue, and going down to the wire with top 5 schools like Oklahoma and Connecticut.  Michigan had their ups and downs, and were placed squarely on the bubble for about 3 straight months.  However, they overcame where Tommy Amaker teams failed.  They made the tournament, celebrating like they had just won the lottery when seeing their name on the screen of the selection show.  Not to be outdone, Michigan went in to a tournament game, its first in 11 years, and won on the back of Manny Harris.  The miraculous season ended in upsetting fashion, but in a game that did not lack in thrills.  Michigan had Oklahoma worried, but they just happened to have the best player in college basketball.

So congratulations to Michigan on advancing a round, something teams like Ohio State, Illinois and Minnesota cannot say.  Congratulations for making the tournament with a group of players everyone doubted.  And finally congratulations to the basketball program for hiring the right coach and bringing Michigan basketball back on the map.

While this loss hurts, there is so much to look forward to next year.  Sims and Harris both announced that they would be back next year; our graduating class only includes C.J. Lee, David Merritt, and Javon Shepard, and most importantly, John Beilein is back.  Michigan will have yet another year under their belt utilizing the Beilein system.

The tournament appearance, coupled by the win over Clemson, and the promise of a new basketball facility should entice some nice talent to head up to Ann Arbor.  And even if the talent isn't quite "top-tier," expect Beilein to do what he does best: win with less talent than other coaches could dream of.

So, in the grand tradition of "Putting it in Stone," I will dip into my spiritual gift of foresight and make a prediction.  Michigan will make the Sweet Sixteen in 2010.  

Put it in Stone.

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Live Blogging

12:56:  Alright, here is my situation for context.  Over at my friends house, got the DirecTV Mega March Madness Package going, sitting in the lazy boy, computer on my lap, and other "enjoyable items" within arms reach.  I will be in this position all day, and tomorrow and hopefully the rest of march.  


1:01:  A&M made their first 10 shots, can the mormons spark a little of that Joseph Smith magic and come back from an early 20 point lead?  My guess is no.  BYU looks lost.  Speaking of nervous teams, what is Memphis doing?  They are hacking constantly, as Northridge is in the bonus after just 9 minutes of play.  My pick for the finals is worrying me.

1:09:  I had no idea that Andy Samberg played basketball for Butler.  Apparently, he is quite the player as he was Horizon League player of the year (if that means anything?).  Regardless, he is apparently trying to hide his association with Saturday Night Live and playing under the alias of Matt Howard.  Do we have a scandal on our hands?  Decide for yourself.

1:25:  This is unacceptable, all games are at half time currently and forcing me to watch commercials.  We got this package to avoid this very situation.  ANGRY!!!!

1:32:  That was too long, real basketball finally back on.

1:37:  If you are watching LSU-Butler you just heard Nantz say that Butler was "young and hungry."  No one can go to a commercial break quite like you Jim.  In good news this game is getting pretty exciting as Butler is within 1.  Samberg inside is doing some damage.  In bad news for me, my pick of LSU is not looking quite as safe.

1:43:  Seriously Memphis?  You can hold every Conference USA team under 50, but you can't destroy Cal State Northridge?  You are making me very nervous.

2:12:  Important lesson learned from the BYU game:  Do not pick a team of all white guys in basketball, ever.

2:27:  As the first round of games look to wrap up, I am satisfied with a 2 out of 3 result.  Memphis almost made me have a heart attack, but they survived.  I am excited to watch the Purdue game as I am hoping for a good showing by the Big 10.

2:48:  I have a new favorite (non-Michigan) player in the tournament: Jordan Eglseder of Northern Iowa.  Why?  Because he is a 7-1, 290 pound white guy.  I have eloquently named him Mr. Larson.  You might remember this famous character from Happy Gilmore, famous for saying "And you can count, on me, waiting for you, in the Parking Lot."  I have watched the entire game and I'm pretty sure he is yet to jump in the air.  I will keep you updated.

3:10:  Not impressed with Cal's play so far.  Purdue is looking strong as well.  The other two games are likely to be massacres. 

3:26:  Sweet Alley-oop dunk by Cal on the backdoor cut.  Well played!  Cal trying to win back my affection after I dissed them sixteen minutes ago.

3:38:  I might be missing it, but Raftery still hasn't said his famous catch phrase "with the kiss" yet.  I'm happy and sad.  By the way, Maryland just got about 7 offensive boards and 0 points to show for it.  Enjoy losing to Memphis on Saturday.

3:50:  Yep, the word graceful was just used to describe Eglseder...  Sarcasm is running high.  On a side note, the Purdue cheer "Boiler-up!" might be the worst in sports.  If you can think of a worse one, I would love to hear it.  But it has to be the most nonsensical cheer ever.  WHAT DOES IT MEAN!?!?  Taken literally, you are asking to turn up a furnace?  Perhaps you work with what you have, and when your nickname is Boilermakers, what else can you do?

3:56:  So, my "friends" have decided to push a certain button of mine.  The button being calling Pizza, "za."  They then took it to the next level and told me that I should get some 'roni on my 'za.  Threats of physical violence and screaming soon followed.

4:20:  This Purdue game just got really tight.  Purdue seems to have downsized their defensive pressure.  They better get their act together after this game because Washington will be a tall task.  To make things worse, they can't even hit free throws.  Hummel going 1-2 from the line is unacceptable.  

4:27:  Wow, I hope you all are watching this Purdue game.  At the beginning I thought it was going to be a blow out, but Purdue's poor free throw shooting accompanied by some cold blooded 3 point makes by Northern Iowa has made this a 2 point game.  I am rooting hard for the Big 10 this year, so come on Purdue!

4:29: Number 11 for Northern Iowa just stupidly took the ball to the basket while down by 4.  You gotta shoot the three!  What are you thinking.  This game is now over. 

4:40: The only real thing to watch in this UCONN-Chattanooga game is to see if Chattanooga will score more than 40 points.  At least the 1-16 match-ups are over early.

5:39:  Not a lot going on, as only Washington and Miss. State are playing.  Miss. State seems to be proving my point that conference championships are detrimental to teams in NCAA Tournament.  While I am sure Miss. State is glad to be here, I doubt they like being stomped on by Washington on tired legs from 4 games in 4 days.  I guess I shouldn't extrapolate as there is plenty of basketball yet to be played, but Miss. State looks like they don't belong here.

7:09:  Nerves are running high right now.  I was just running back and forth down a high way.  Im currently rocking the Tractor Traylor 54 Jersey, Michigan basketball shorts, a maize under shirt and a Michigan hat.  If we lose this game, it wont be for lack of fandom by me.

7:19:  Bad Passes and bad defense.  This is not the sign of a Beilein coached team.  They look nervous and scared.  Snap out of it, Blue!

7:27:  At least we are shooting well so far.  Maybe when Sims actually shows up to the game, we could maybe, I don't know grab a defensive rebound, and he might make some plays...

7:32:  I love that Beilein is sitting Sims right now.  Hopefully, this extra motivation gets him to respond.  In his place Gibson is playing GREAT defense!  Oh speaking of good play, Manny Harris is playing pretty good.  Props to Manny for 2 blocks!

8:08:  At half we are ahead by 3.  Manny is playing incredible, Sims is playing like crap.  If Michigan steps up the defense and Sims shows up, I like our chances.  Keep up the intensity though Manny.

9:36:  Several years of my life were shaved off my overall expectancy, but I am soooooo Happy!

9:55:  Akron really wanted to delay the inevitable, but they finally fell.  Gonzaga looked pretty good towards the end of the game.  I have them in the Sweet 16.  Villanova also gave us a scare (I have them in the elite 8).  I have started watching the Duke game, and Binghamton really likes to run.  Could be an interesting game, but we shall have to see how many "Duke Fouls" are called.  I imagine this game will eventually get out of hand, but I sure love watching Duke struggle.

10:23:  Despite already knowing the inevitable, I am rooting hard for Morgan State.  Go Golden Bears!

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BRACKETS!


Above are my brackets.  Personally, I am not really very happy with them because my final four is really BORING.  Alas, I tried really hard to not pick this final four (especially because in picking these final four team that would mean that I actually agreed with President Obama about something), but I did.  Click the image to make it bigger and more easily viewable.  Good luck to me!

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Jay Cutler

As I sit here mulling over my bracket picks (which I will post tomorrow), I thought I would clear my head and write a quick post about the Jay Cutler to the Lions situation.  


So, before I get to far into anything, lets talk about what we "know."  Supposedly, Jay Cutler cannot stand his new coaching staff and has asked to be traded.  We also know that Denver isn't run by Matt Millen, so they aren't boneheads.  Denver seems willing to put him on the block, but they want another quarterback in exchange.  Unfortunately for the Lions, they do not have one of those, or at least none that any other team in their right mind would want.  (No Sparty, no one else wants Drew Staton)

What the Lions do have is a strong desire to get Cutler and more ammunition in terms of picks than any other team can offer.  But, any trade in the near future would likely have to involve another team.  Unless Denver gets desperate, the Lions will have to acquire a solid quarterback before swapping him with Denver. 

Before I get into some trade scenarios, I need to say a few things regarding this trade.  Firstly, I support getting Jay Cutler 100%, provided it is for the right price, of course.  Secondly, I am actually impressed with the offseason Martin Mayhew has done in this first offseason.  His real test will be the draft, but the moves to dump Kitna and acquire Julian Peterson were very impressive.  Kudos, Mr. Mayhew, so far... 

Alright, so how do the Lions get Jay Cutler?  Here are 3 unique and creative ways to get him.

1.  Trade Denver the #1 pick for Cutler+
This trade situation is obviously based on the assumption that Denver loves either Matthew Stafford or Mark Sanchez.  Why any GM would love either of these rookies is beyond me, but if Josh McDaniels is crazy enough to piss off his Pro Bowl quarterback to the point of requesting a trade, he might be crazy enough to love one of these players.  Assuming argumendo, that Denver wants to develop another young quarterback, this is the easiest possibility.  The problem with this scenario is you would have to get something more than just Jay Cutler for the number 1.  There is a big premium on the #1.  There are very few players worth the #1, and they are all untouchable.  Remember the trade the Chargers got for Eli Manning?  They traded the #1 overall pick for the #4, a 3rd rounder, and a first and a fifth round picks in the subsequent year's draft.  To move up 3 spots and get an arguably worse quarterback than Phillip Rivers cost the Giants three extra picks including a 1st rounder.  So, Cutler + Denver's #12 would probably be more than Denver is willing to give up, especially if Denver believes that one of those two QB's could fall to them at 12, which could easily happen.  Perhaps instead the Lions could get a 4th or 5th and next year's first rounder.  That is a fair trade, if Denver badly wants Sanchez or Stafford.

2.  Involve Cleveland.  Now things start to get hairy.  In order to pull this trade off the Lions would need to swap picks with Cleveland and get Derek Anderson.  Here, the assumption that Denver loves Derek Anderson is required to follow this trade scenario.  So, Detroit sends the #1 overall and possibly a late round pick for the #5 and Derek Anderson.  Detroit would then send Derek Anderson and either the #33 or the #20 for Jay Cutler.  This exact same trade scenario could work just as easily with Kansas City just replace Derek Anderson with Tyler Thigpen.  Detroit would, in either situation, get a franchise quarterback and either a top talent OT (Jason Smith or Eugene Monroe) or Aaron Curry.  Not to mention they save million of dollars in guaranteed money by getting out of that #1 slot.  It also gets Denver a quarterback, and some picks, and KC/Cleveland more picks as well.  It is mutually beneficial to all teams, as long as Denver likes one of those quarterbacks enough.

3.  The third scenario assumes that Denver panics.  Detroit sends the #20 and a late round pick, likely next year, in exchange for Jay Cutler.  This won't likely happen because Denver won't panic until training camp, which is well after the draft.  Detroit has to make this trade happen before April 25th. 

So can this deal get done?  I think it certainly can, and I also think the Lions are trying their hardest, but Denver is probably asking too much.  3 way trades are hard to pull off, and take time.  Detroit does have some premium for acting quickly, as the Jets and the Buccaneers are excited about their chances to get Jay Cutler too.  So, get it done Mayhew, I did the hard work, just make a few calls and turn on that charm and persuasion!  Stop reading my blog and get me Jay Cutler!

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Get Rid of Conference Tournaments

I will be honest; I could do without conference tournaments.  They are unrealistic, overhyped, and frustrating.

As a subscriber to this sports blog, you inevitably ran into the ESPN “Championship Week!” commercials.  Also, as someone who reads my likely meaningless words, you probably see eye-to-eye with me on many issues, including how annoying these commercials were.  The hype for these conference tournaments is unbelievable.   Do you really care who wins the Horizon League?  I don’t, until I see a bracket.  And yet, we are berated by an onslaught of inconsequential basketball games – even in the major conferences.  Don’t get me wrong, I love watching college basketball, but I am just trying to get you to see conference tournaments for what they really are: money-makers for television networks.

You may not all agree with me, in fact, for some people, the conference tournament is an image of hope, as sitting atop the figurative Aggro Crag representing a grueling, 4-day tournament is an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament.  An automatic bid essentially erasing 4 months of poor play, and replacing a dreadful season with, believe it or not, a conference championship!  Can you believe it folks; it only takes 4 wins to make the NCAA Tournament. 

For some people the conference tournament is a source of fear (see: Penn State, St. Mary’s, San Diego State, etc.).  Teams like Cleveland State (52 RPI, only 2 wins against the top 50, one of those coming in the conference tournament) stole a bid from an arguably more deserving team like St. Mary’s, whose only sin was having their star player get hurt, or Penn State, whose unforgivable transgression was scheduling a relaxed non-conference schedule. 

The reason that this fear exists is simply because teams KNOW they are in.  It is really not surprising that during “Championship Week” there are so many upsets.  The classic upset follows the formula of teams playing for their lives vs. teams that only care about seeding.  If anyone watched the Pitt Game, or the LSU-Miss. State game, you know they didn’t give it their all.

The lack of effort stems from a natural human reaction to a meaningless game: apathy.  If LSU won the SEC would they have gotten a higher seed than 8 seed?  Maybe, but they would not likely have gotten a much higher seed than a 7.  So, what difference does it make to LSU if they lose to Mississippi State and get a day off instead of playing for a conference tournament championship?  Exactly, nothing.

So, unlike any other tournament in major sports, conference tournaments are completely unrealistic.  College Basketball teams never play more than 2 games a week, except in this tournament.  Even in the NCAA tournament, teams get a day off between matchups.  In a conference tournament, teams have to play 3-4 days in a row to win the tournament.  Do good teams really want to wear themselves out for 3 more days before eventually receiving that inevitable #1 seed?  Pitt didn’t, Michigan State didn’t mind settling on a #2.

So, I ask you this.  Would you really miss the conference tournament?  If they moved the NCAA tournament a week earlier (thereby making it really March madness, instead of March/April madness), would you care?  Would you feel outraged if you were a Miss. State fan?  Or would do you sympathize with the Penn State fan?  I guess my point is the season is 30+ games in duration, while the conference tournament is 3-4 games long.  Clearly the longevity of the regular season is a much better representation of a team’s success.  So erase the conference tournament and make the selection committee’s job a little easier because I think most see my point and could really take or leave the conference tournament.

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John Beilein...

Before I get into the awesomeness that happened at 6:30 on Sunday night I want to take this time to apologize for my extended absence from writing. I have been busy, but mostly I just haven’t been struck by anything in particular to write about. As Nate put so eloquently, there is a ton of stuff going on this week so I too plan on being an active participant this week.

On that note, today’s post is brought to you by procrastination. Why post today? I can ALWAYS wait till tomorrow…sorry guys.

Ed DeChellis (Head Coach at Penn State) and Tom Izzo split the coach of the year award in the Big Ten this year. Congratulations to both of them are in order for very productive and successful years. Now that my manners are out of the way, I want to tell you that it’s bull crap that both of them won this award over John Beilein.

DeChellis’s Nittany Lions went 15-16 last year and finished seventh in the Big Ten with a 7-11 conference record. Compare that to this year at 22-11 and 10-8 and you can see a significant improvement over the year. Izzo on the other hand, led his Spartans to a 27-9 record last year with a 12-6 Big Ten record. This year the Spartans went 26-6 and 15-3 respectively. Izzo maintained the excellence he so frequently demands and gets out of his players this year.

John Beilein on the other hand went 10-22 last year with a second to last place 5-13 Big Ten record. This year, not only did the records change to 22-10 overall and 9-9 Big Ten, but Beilein’s Wolverines are NCAA Tournament bound for the first time in ten years. After changing around his starters for a big portion of the non conference schedule, he finally settled on starting 4 guards and one forward for most of the Big Ten schedule and into the post season. In a conference loaded with talent (MSU I am talking about you) Michigan starts a pudgy, white freshmen shooting guard at power forward (Zach Novak.) Michigan also starts a committee of walk-ons at point guard or occasionally the defensive liability Kelvin Grady. With not a single starter taller than 6’8 and no smell of a 5 star recruit since the ‘sigh’ Ellerbee days, Beilein was able to completely flip the teams record in one year from the worst in school history to being NCAA Tournament bound.

When it all comes down to brass tacks, DeChellis did a lesser form of what Beilein did but with more experienced players and no past NCAA sanctions looming over his head. Izzo had a great season and his Spartans won the conference out right for the first time since 2001, but does he start any walk-ons? When was the last time Izzo was ever as talent deprived as Michigan is now? Oh yeah, I know, it was before Michigan got in trouble by the NCAA. Congratulations Tom for doing exactly what everyone thought you would do, win, and do so with excessive amounts of talent. So, although both Izzo and DeChellis had admirable seasons, neither of them stacks up even close to what Beilein has accomplished in his short tenure at Michigan.

As for Thursday’s game against Clemson, I pretty much agree with every bit of analysis that Nate has brought up. Although on paper Michigan is an underdog (10 seed and +5.5 points to Vegas,) they are by no means EXPECTED to lose. With Clemson not being very tall either, our 1-3-1 zone may actually be somewhat effective too.

Remember our team’s motto; shoot first, cross the timeline later. When that doesn’t work remember that DeShawn Sims is on your team. Death to Clemson. Its Great to be a Michigan Wolverine.

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